US Debt ceiling will be lifted by Oct. 17th
The United States will lift its debt ceiling by the deadline of October the 17th, 2013, effectively avoiding subsequent default on its debt obligations.
Bet outcome: Yes
- Category:Politics
- Bet started:9 months 1 hour ago (08-10-2013)
- Bet closed: 8 months 3 weeks ago (14-10-2013)
- Resolved: 8 months 3 weeks ago (17-10-2013)
- Weighted No: 135`508
- Weighted Yes: 291`707
- Confirmed bets: 19 ( No: 8 / Yes: 11 )
- Histograph:
CONFIRMED BETS: 5.99 BTC
TIME | BET | WEIGHT | BTC IN | IN | BTC OUT | OUT | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08-10-13 02:14 | Yes | 99`810 | 0.07000000 | 12PvC | 0.11267317 | 1F5xm | |
08-10-13 02:14 | No | 99`810 | 0.03000000 | 12PV4 | 0.00000000 | 1MisH | |
08-10-13 09:28 | Yes | 94`721 | 0.53389000 | 12pw7 | 0.84249144 | 1BpfU | |
08-10-13 12:59 | No | 92`236 | 0.10000000 | 12PYU | 0.00000000 | 12Pyh | |
08-10-13 15:37 | Yes | 90`386 | 1.00000000 | 12Q3K | 1.55111288 | 1BkaD | |
08-10-13 16:08 | Yes | 90`025 | 0.40000000 | 12Q4C | 0.61954872 | 1AgEz | |
09-10-13 00:19 | No | 84`266 | 1.00000000 | 12q5K | 0.00000000 | 1K4Fs | |
09-10-13 14:08 | Yes | 74`534 | 0.10000000 | 12q9w | 0.14527042 | 16ko8 | |
09-10-13 17:22 | No | 72`261 | 0.20000000 | 12qbQ | 0.00000000 | 1Miki | |
09-10-13 20:56 | No | 69`749 | 0.05000000 | 12qBv | 0.00000000 | 18hZb | |
10-10-13 03:05 | Yes | 65`411 | 0.10000000 | 12qeB | 0.13960690 | 1EX69 | |
10-10-13 05:57 | No | 63`396 | 0.25050000 | 12qGP | 0.00000000 | 1A9dK | |
10-10-13 11:21 | Yes | 59`593 | 1.00212000 | 12Qgu | 1.36283419 | 1MisH | |
11-10-13 13:00 | Yes | 41`536 | 0.20000000 | 12QpS | 0.24957078 | 1GMVV | |
11-10-13 14:16 | Yes | 40`639 | 0.10000000 | 12Qru | 0.12422853 | 19qRz | |
11-10-13 15:33 | No | 39`736 | 0.10000000 | 12qsh | 0.00000000 | 169TK | |
11-10-13 17:28 | Yes | 38`393 | 0.49533890 | 12qT6 | 0.60844572 | 1Lo2z | |
13-10-13 00:41 | Yes | 16`408 | 0.16160000 | 12rH4 | 0.17644461 | 1GHWo | |
13-10-13 06:17 | No | 12`464 | 0.09870000 | 12RKo | 0.00000000 | 1N4xF |
DISCUSSION
#1576: Anonymous 08-10-13 at 12:33
Addicts always relapse.
#1577: Anonymous 08-10-13 at 16:46
There’s no upside for the Reps. They’ll never vote for it.
#1579: Anonymous 09-10-13 at 18:09
Easy money. Surely a Yes… It always happened.
#1582: Anonymous 10-10-13 at 00:05
you sure about that
#1584: Anonymous 10-10-13 at 07:33
It happened 78 times…
#1585: Anonymous 10-10-13 at 12:19
It is already a Yes -> http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/10/10/us-usa-fiscal-idUSBRE98N11220131010
#1588: Anonymous 10-10-13 at 18:22
Unveiled plans do not a lifting make.
#1589: Anonymous 10-10-13 at 22:56
though will prolly resolve to "Yes", if you are heavily long US equities, betting on NO may provide for a very nice hedge in the off-chance that things do go south on the 17th… it’s like buying SPY puts but without paying commissions to a brokerage 🙂
#1590: Anonymous 11-10-13 at 00:39
SPY puts are way overpriced.
#1592: u_igiot 11-10-13 at 06:30
If SPY puts are overpriced why dont you sell them short.
Prices are what they are, neither over or underpriced.
#1593: Anonymous 11-10-13 at 09:46
Because I make better money here. Herp.
#1594: Anonymous 11-10-13 at 11:40
exactly what anonymous said: if you think SPY puts are overpriced why don’t you SELL spy puts and make excess off the premiums?
#1595: Anonymous 11-10-13 at 17:01
Because I make better money here. Derp.
#1596: Anonymous 11-10-13 at 17:02
Lol Anon forgot he signed the comment "u_igiot" instead of Anon.
#1597: Anonymous 11-10-13 at 17:13
ok sorry– it was early in the morning– i was still sleepy… but it doesn’t change the crux of it
#1604: u_igiot 13-10-13 at 06:42
gimme a break. make more money here rather than selling puts directly. the market here is miniscule size and the real stock exchange puts give you much more choices to make money.
igiot
#1608: Anonymous 13-10-13 at 14:39
i agree– the market here is rather "shallow"– but maybe some day it will grow… the _idea_ is legit..
#1609: Anonymous 13-10-13 at 17:33
u_igiot stop whining and do the math, $100 in puts vs .7 BTC here.
#1615: Anonymous 16-10-13 at 18:00
looks like we have a deal, yay!! http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303680404579139212598765046
#1616: Anonymous 16-10-13 at 19:52
Senate announces deal to end government shutdown, lift debt ceiling
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-250_162-57607769/senate-announces-deal-to-end-government-shutdown-lift-debt-ceiling/
#1621: Anonymous 17-10-13 at 02:36
The problem was never the Senate, the Socialists have majority there. It’s the Congress that matters.
#1622: Anonymous 17-10-13 at 02:44
The House of Representatives voted 285-144 to clear a measure that now heads to President Barack Obama for his signature. The House vote was less than three hours after the Senate passed the bill, 81-18.
#1623: Anonymous 17-10-13 at 02:45
obama is going to sign it instantly