BitBet Bets Bets http://bitbet.us BitBet Bets http://bitbet.us/rss/new/ http://bitbet.us/media/images/bbetrss.jpg en-US Sat, 10 Dec 2016 01:08:49 +0000 Article 50 will go to UK Parliament http://bitbet.us/bet/1340/article-50-will-go-to-uk-parliament/ Thu, 08 Dec 2016 09:54:16 +0000
If NO action in the UK Parliament is required by the order, this bet resolves as NO.

Any possible actions required in other bodies such as the Scottish Parliament are not taken into account.

As the date of the order is not yet known, end date is set at 31st January 2017. Betting ends 31st December 2016.

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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1340
EUR/USD Parity in 2017 http://bitbet.us/bet/1339/eur-usd-parity-in-2017/ Mon, 05 Dec 2016 22:11:22 +0000
If parity is reached, any bet placed 4 weeks prior to the event will be refunded. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1339
Lepen in last round of '17 French elections http://bitbet.us/bet/1338/lepen-in-last-round-of-17-french-elections/ Wed, 30 Nov 2016 17:04:28 +0000
Any bets received (where received means included in a block) after a resolution event will be refunded minus Bitbet's fee.
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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1338
Francois Fillon wins the 2017 French presidential elections http://bitbet.us/bet/1337/francois-fillon-wins-the-2017-french-presidential-elections/ Tue, 29 Nov 2016 14:58:20 +0000
Should a resolution event occur prior to May 7th, all bets received after the resolution event will be refunded, minus BitBet's fee. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1337
"Sausage Party" wins Oscar for Animated Feature Film http://bitbet.us/bet/1336/sausage-party-wins-oscar-for-animated-feature-film/ Mon, 28 Nov 2016 21:22:19 +0000
http://www.oscars.org/oscars/89th-academy-awards-key-dates ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1336
Bitcoin difficulty over 430B before 16 May 2017 http://bitbet.us/bet/1335/bitcoin-difficulty-over-430b-before-16-may-2017/ Mon, 21 Nov 2016 06:59:42 +0000
Any Yes bet whose placement time as listed on this page is within 10 calendar days of the timestamp of the first block of sufficient difficulty shall be refunded minus BitBet's fee. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1335
Norber Hofer to win 2016 Austrian presidential election. http://bitbet.us/bet/1334/norber-hofer-to-win-2016-austrian-presidential-election/ Thu, 17 Nov 2016 22:54:09 +0000 info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1334 Segwit will activate by March 2017 http://bitbet.us/bet/1333/segwit-will-activate-by-march-2017/ Thu, 17 Nov 2016 01:02:09 +0000
In the event of a network fork, the chain with the most hashrate shall be the one considered to be valid. i.e., If Segwit activates on a Bitcoin chain with less hashrate than a different chain, Segwit will not be considered to have been activated on the bitcoin network. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1333
President-elect Donald Trump to become president http://bitbet.us/bet/1332/president-elect-donald-trump-to-become-president/ Sat, 12 Nov 2016 23:01:02 +0000
This bet resolves as "Yes" if Donald Trump is inaugurated before 22 January 2017. Otherwise it resolves as "No".

This bet may be closed and resolved early if it will be clear that he will not become US president before 22 January 2017. If the difference between a given "NO" bet time and the early close time is less than one week, the bet will be refunded minus BitBet's fee. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1332
President Obama to be indicted within President Trump's first year in office. http://bitbet.us/bet/1331/president-obama-to-be-indicted-within-president-trumps/ Sat, 12 Nov 2016 08:24:24 +0000
For this bet, Trump's first year in office will officially start at Midnight on January 20, 2017 and end at the stroke of Midnight on the morning of January 20, 2018.

If Obama is indicted for any reason within Trump's first year in office, then this bet will be ended effective immediately upon announcement of indictment.

All bets received after President Obama's indictment will be refunded minus Bitbet's fee. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1331
NEW Trump Wins Bet with NO WEIGHTING DECAY! http://bitbet.us/bet/1330/new-trump-wins-bet-with-no-weighting-decay/ Fri, 04 Nov 2016 12:10:10 +0000
If anyone else is declared the winner, by the major media outlets, of the 2016 United States Presidential election the contract resolves as NO.

Major media outlets are defined as (NBC News, Fox News, The Washington Post and the Wall Street Journal).

If there is no winner declared on the resolution date the contract will resolve when the four named media outlets declare the winner of the 2016 United States presidential election. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1330
Iconomi listed on Bittrex or Poloniex by February 2017 http://bitbet.us/bet/1329/iconomi-listed-on-bittrex-or-poloniex-by-february/ Sun, 30 Oct 2016 14:44:31 +0000
Should the time difference between a "YES" bet and a resolution event be more than 5 days, that bet will be refunded minus BitBet's fee. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1329
ZCash to trade above 5BTC per ZEC on December 1st http://bitbet.us/bet/1328/zcash-to-trade-above-5btc-per-zec-on/ Fri, 28 Oct 2016 23:48:58 +0000
Should Poloniex not be available that day, the BitBet mods will adjudicate using a suitable alternate source. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1328
Democrats control Senate http://bitbet.us/bet/1327/democrats-control-senate/ Sat, 15 Oct 2016 22:23:26 +0000
To clarify, a new Senate composition of 48 Democrats, 2 Independents, and 50 Republicans (50-50) will only result in a YES if the new Vice President is a Democrat.

For the purposes of this contract, Senators Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Angus King of Maine (both Independents) will be assumed to continue caucusing with the Democratic Party. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1327
Will Trump drop out of the election? http://bitbet.us/bet/1326/will-trump-drop-out-of-the-election/ Sat, 15 Oct 2016 21:35:51 +0000 info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1326 Hillary Clinton Receives Presidential Pardon http://bitbet.us/bet/1325/hillary-clinton-receives-presidential-pardon/ Sat, 15 Oct 2016 21:32:24 +0000
If such an order is recorded by the Office of the Pardon Attorney at any time prior to the inauguration, this contract resolves to 'YES'.

Should a resolution event occur prior to 2017-01-20, all 'YES' bets received within 24h of the event will be refunded, minus BitBet's fee. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1325
Disney Stock Above 100 before Christmas http://bitbet.us/bet/1324/disney-stock-above-100-before-christmas/ Tue, 04 Oct 2016 08:18:49 +0000
If the difference between a given "YES" bet time and the event time is less than one week, the bet will be refunded minus BitBet's fee. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1324
Hillary Clinton Declared winner of the 2016 US Presidential Election http://bitbet.us/bet/1323/hillary-clinton-declared-winner-of-the-2016-us/ Tue, 04 Oct 2016 08:17:29 +0000
If anyone else is declared the winner, by the major media outlets, of the 2016 United States Presidential election the contract resolves as NO.

Major media outlets are defined as (NBC News, Fox News, The Washington Post and the Wall Street Journal).

If there is no winner declared on the resolution date the contract will resolve when the four named media outlets declare the winner of the 2016 United States presidential election. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1323
North Korea to test a H-Bomb in 2017 http://bitbet.us/bet/1322/north-korea-to-test-a-h-bomb-in-2017/ Sun, 02 Oct 2016 16:09:03 +0000 The resolution source shall be the the CTBTO .

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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1322
Will Donald Trump release his taxes? http://bitbet.us/bet/1321/will-donald-trump-release-his-taxes/ Wed, 28 Sep 2016 05:37:29 +0000
Recent tax returns include the following years:
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1321
S&P 500 to drop under 1500 before February 2017 http://bitbet.us/bet/1320/s-p-500-to-drop-under-1500-before-february/ Sun, 25 Sep 2016 06:33:56 +0000 S&P500 drops under 1500 before February 1st 2017 this contract resolves as "YES".

If the difference between a given "YES" bet time and the event time is less than one week, the bet will be refunded minus BitBet's fee. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1320
Federal Reserve will raise interest rate at September 2016 FOMC meeting http://bitbet.us/bet/1319/federal-reserve-will-raise-interest-rate-at-september/ Sat, 17 Sep 2016 07:54:05 +0000 info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1319 Gary Johnson to be included in national debate http://bitbet.us/bet/1318/gary-johnson-to-be-included-in-national-debate/ Tue, 23 Aug 2016 21:05:12 +0000
References:

. Commission on Presidential Debates .

. Heatstreet .

. Debate schedules .
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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1318
Deeply flawed US election system to fail again in 2017 http://bitbet.us/bet/1317/deeply-flawed-us-election-system-to-fail-again/ Sat, 13 Aug 2016 14:49:35 +0000
Elaboration: in the deeply flawed US election system, it is possible for a president to be elected when more than half of the voters vote against him or her. This happened for example in the 2000 US presidential election.

This contract resolves to YES if this happens again in the 2017 US presidential election.

The resolution source shall be http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/electionresults.shtml

More details on the broken US election system can be found at fairvote.org .

BitBet reserves the right to wait until any ambiguity or uncertainty is lifted before this contract is settled.
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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1317
Gary Johnson wins at least 1 Electoral College vote http://bitbet.us/bet/1316/gary-johnson-wins-at-least-1-electoral-college/ Fri, 12 Aug 2016 21:39:50 +0000 info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1316 US Election is extremely close http://bitbet.us/bet/1315/us-election-is-extremely-close/ Tue, 02 Aug 2016 07:29:02 +0000
- The final electoral vote margin between the winner and second place candidate is less than or equal to 10 (this includes a tie).

- The final popular vote margin is less than or equal to 500,000 votes.

- The winner of the popular vote does not win the presidency.

Moderate weight to encourage early betting but provide enough incentive for later bets as well. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1315
Hillary Clinton wins Ohio http://bitbet.us/bet/1314/hillary-clinton-wins-ohio/ Tue, 02 Aug 2016 07:25:29 +0000
Moderate weight to encourage early betting but provide enough incentive for later betting. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1314
Donald Trump wins Florida http://bitbet.us/bet/1313/donald-trump-wins-florida/ Tue, 02 Aug 2016 07:20:49 +0000
Moderate weight to encourage early betting but provide incentive for later betting as well. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1313
ETC to reach parity with ETH before 2017 http://bitbet.us/bet/1312/etc-to-reach-parity-with-eth-before-2017/ Fri, 29 Jul 2016 06:34:47 +0000
Should a resolution event occur prior to December 31st 2016, all bets received (where "received" means "included in a block") within the 7 days preceeding the event will be refunded, minus BitBet's standard fee.

The resolution source shall be coincap.io . Should Coincap become unavailable, the BitBet admin team shall find a suitable replacement. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1312
Ethereum Classic (ETC) to trade below 0.0007 BTC ON August 10th http://bitbet.us/bet/1311/ethereum-classic-etc-to-trade-below-0-0007-btc/ Sun, 24 Jul 2016 21:34:09 +0000 Poloniex at any price strictly below 0.0007 Bitcoin per ETC during the 24 hours of August 10th 2016 (GMT) then the bet resolves as YES. Trades below 0.0007 before August 10th have no relevance to this bet. ]]> info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1311 Turkish Lira to fall to 3.8 per USD or lower http://bitbet.us/bet/1310/turkish-lira-to-fall-to-3-8-per-usd/ Thu, 21 Jul 2016 02:22:48 +0000
When the difference between a given "Yes" bet time and the resolved event time is less than ten calendar days, that bet will be refunded minus BitBet's fee.

The resolution source shall be xe.com . ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1310
NXT to trade below 2500 Satoshis before October 1st http://bitbet.us/bet/1309/nxt-to-trade-below-2500-satoshis-before-october/ Mon, 18 Jul 2016 22:48:45 +0000 Poloniex strictly below 2500 Satoshis at any point on or before September 30th 2016 GMT, this bet resolves as YES.

Should a resolution event occur prior to the deadline, all bets received (where "received" means "included in a block") within 7 days of the event will be refunded, minus BitBet's standard fee.

Should Poloniex not be available for resolution the BitBet admin team will pick an alternate resolution source. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1309
UK to hold General Election in 2016 http://bitbet.us/bet/1308/uk-to-hold-general-election-in-2016/ Wed, 13 Jul 2016 05:27:50 +0000 Election in the United Kingdom at any time strictly before 1st January 2017 GMT, this contract resolves as YES.

Betting on this contract will close early if a General Election is announced. Bets made on or after the day the General Election is officially announced will be refunded, minus BitBet's fee.

This contract will only resolve as YES on the day of the General Election itself, following the start of voting. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1308
Bitcoin difficulty over 280B before 2017 http://bitbet.us/bet/1307/bitcoin-difficulty-over-280b-before-2017/ Wed, 13 Jul 2016 05:15:31 +0000
Should the resolution event occur early, all bets received (where "received" means "included in a block") after the event will be refunded, minus BitBet's fee. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1307
Bitcoin to set new ATH in 2016 http://bitbet.us/bet/1306/bitcoin-to-set-new-ath-in-2016/ Sun, 10 Jul 2016 00:42:02 +0000 Bitstamp this contract resolves as YES.

Should the resolution event occur early, all "YES" bets received within a 10 days period prior to the event will be refunded, minus BitBet's standard fee.

Should Bitstamp become unavailable, a suitable replacement shall be determined by the BitBet Mods. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1306
ETH/BTC pair below 0.015 before September 1st http://bitbet.us/bet/1305/eth-btc-pair-below-0-015-before-september-1st/ Sun, 10 Jul 2016 00:32:08 +0000 Poloniex strictly below 0.015 at any point on or before August 31st 2016 GMT, this bet resolves as YES.

Should a resolution event occur prior to the deadline, all bets received (where "received" means "included in a block") within 5 days of the event will be refunded, minus BitBet's standard fee.

Should Poloniex not be available for resolution the BitBet admin will decide for an alternate resolution source. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1305
GBP parity with USD by 31st August 2016 http://bitbet.us/bet/1304/gbp-parity-with-usd-by-31st-august-2016/ Sat, 09 Jul 2016 09:39:01 +0000
Should a resolution event take place before the 31st, all bets received (where "received" means "included in a block") after the resolution event will be refunded, minus BitBet's fee.

The resolution source shall be XE.COM . ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1304
Trump Announces his VP during the GOP Convention http://bitbet.us/bet/1303/trump-announces-his-vp-during-the-gop-convention/ Fri, 08 Jul 2016 01:10:24 +0000
Trump or a Trump authorized representative will make the announcement verbally or in writing. Bitbet will have the final say if there is any ambiguity in the announcement.

If a resolution event occurs prior to Julty 18th, this bet resolves as 'NO' and Bitbet will refund all bets received within 24 hours of that event, minus BitBet's fee.

If the convention ends without a Trump VP nomination, this bet resolves as 'NO'.

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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1303
Block 420000 will have higher fees than block 210000 http://bitbet.us/bet/1302/block-420000-will-have-higher-fees-than-block/ Thu, 07 Jul 2016 09:26:20 +0000
Any bets received after the resolution event (where "received" means "included in a block") will be refunded, minus BitBet's fee. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1302
Theresa May to become Tory leader in the UK http://bitbet.us/bet/1301/theresa-may-to-become-tory-leader-in-the/ Wed, 06 Jul 2016 22:12:20 +0000
If Theresa May somehow drops off the race early, this bet resolves early to NO.

Context for this bet here .

Should a resolution event occur prior to September 9th 2016 GMT, all bets received (where "received" means "included in a block") after the resolution event will be refunded, minus BitBet's standard fee.
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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1301
Trump's Favorable Rating At Least 34% on July 22nd http://bitbet.us/bet/1300/trumps-favorable-rating-at-least-34-on-july/ Tue, 05 Jul 2016 21:53:19 +0000
This bet will be resolved based on the polling average on Real Clear Politics .

Note: On July 5th, Trump's current favorable rating was 33.4% ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1300
Silver to top $25/oz before February http://bitbet.us/bet/1299/silver-to-top-25-oz-before-february/ Tue, 05 Jul 2016 21:30:19 +0000 silverprice.org .

When the difference between a given "YES" bet time and the event time is less than twelve days, that bet will be refunded minus BitBet's fee.
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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1299
Winklevoss ETF listed on BATS in 2016 http://bitbet.us/bet/1298/winklevoss-etf-listed-on-bats-in-2016/ Tue, 05 Jul 2016 10:47:40 +0000 TRUST is officially listed on the BATS exchange on or before December 31st 2016 GMT, this contract resolves as YES.

For any other outcome, including but not limited to the BATS exchange having gone bankrupt, this contract resolves as NO.

Should a resolution event occur prior to December 31st 2016 GMT, all bets received within a one week period prior to the event will be refunded, minus BitBet's standard fee.

Note 1: SEC filing .

Note 2: If resolution of the contract is for some reason ambiguous, the BitBet admin team will adjudicate the outcome.
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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1298
2016 U.S. Presidential Election Turnout Above 56% http://bitbet.us/bet/1297/2016-u-s-presidential-election-turnout-above-56/ Mon, 04 Jul 2016 14:15:47 +0000
If the turnout is strictly less than 56%, this contract resolves as NO.

For the purpose of this contract, voter turnout is defined as the ratio: (number of people who actually cast a ballot) / (number of eligible voters). Both numbers are to be taken across all 50 states and territories.

Note 1: This percentage is called voting eligible population turnout (VEP turnout), see Fairvote.org as well a this article .

Bitbet reserves the right to wait for the official and final announcement before this market is settled.

In the event of any resolution ambiguity, Bitbet will decide, using reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the time.

This includes in particular the possibility of a full refund of all bets (minus BitBet's standard fees) if the outcome of the bet is thought by the BitBet admin team to be too complex or controversial to adjudicate.
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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1297
There will be a tropical cyclone named 'Nicole' in 2016 http://bitbet.us/bet/1296/there-will-be-a-tropical-cyclone-named-nicole/ Sun, 03 Jul 2016 14:43:06 +0000
Resolution Source: NOAA .

The list of NOAA tropical cyclone names for 2016 can be found here .

Should the resolution event occur prior to November 30th, 2016, all "YES" bets received within a one week period prior to the event will be refunded, minus BitBet's standard fee.
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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1296
BTC price to surpass 1 oz. Gold before April 2017 http://bitbet.us/bet/1295/btc-price-to-surpass-1-oz-gold-before/ Sun, 03 Jul 2016 10:47:53 +0000
The resolution sources shall be Bitstamp for Bitcoin prices and GoldPrice.org for Gold prices.

Should the resolution event occur prior to April 1st 2017, all "YES" bets received within a two week period prior to the event will be refunded, minus BitBet's standard fee.

Should Bitstamp.net or GoldPrice.org have failed or gone rogue, suitable replacement resolution sources shall be selected by the BitBet admin team.

The text of this bet was amended on Jul. 5th 2016 UTC to properly reflect the contract creator's original intent to exclude April 1st 2017. ]]>
info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1295
British Government to trigger Article 50 in 2016 http://bitbet.us/bet/1294/british-government-to-trigger-article-50-in-2016/ Sat, 02 Jul 2016 16:02:29 +0000 Article 50 stipulates that "A Member State which decides to withdraw shall notify the European Council of its intention".

Invoking Article 50 of the Lisbon treaty is needed to start negotiations to exit from the European Union.

If the British government officially triggers Article 50 at any time on or before December 31st 2016 GMT, by "officially notifying the European Council of its intention" this bet resolves as YES.

This bet will close as soon as Article 50 is triggered. All bets made within 48 hours before the Article 50 being triggered will be refunded minus Bitbet's fee.

In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement, the BitBet admin team will determine, using reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time.
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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1294
Michael Gove will be the next UK Prime Minister http://bitbet.us/bet/1293/michael-gove-will-be-the-next-uk-prime/ Sat, 02 Jul 2016 14:42:43 +0000 Gove is appointed as the next UK Prime Minister on or before December 1st 2016.

This bet resolves as 'NO' if someone else is appointed as the next UK Prime Minister on or before December 1st 2016.

This bet resolves as 'NO' if a new UK Prime Minister isn't elected/appointed by December 1st 2016.

Should any resolution event occur prior to December 1st 2016, all bets received after the event occurred will be refunded, minus BitBet's standard fee.
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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1293
Donald Trump names Newt Gingrich as his VP http://bitbet.us/bet/1292/donald-trump-names-newt-gingrich-as-his-vp/ Sat, 02 Jul 2016 14:30:17 +0000
If Donald Trump names another candidate as his VP, this bet resolves as NO.

If Donald Trump hasn't named a VP candidate by July 23rd 2016 GMT, this bet resolves as NO.

Should any resolution event occur prior to July 23rd 2016, all bets received after the event occurred will be refunded, minus BitBet's standard fee.
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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1292
Hillary names Elizabeth Warren as her VP http://bitbet.us/bet/1291/hillary-names-elizabeth-warren-as-her-vp/ Sat, 02 Jul 2016 13:37:31 +0000
If Hillary Clinton names another candidate as her VP, this bet resolves to 'NO'.

If Hillary Clinton doesn't name a VP candidate by July 30th 2016 GMT (not included), this bet resolves as 'NO'.

Should any resolution event occur prior to July 30th 2016, all bets received after the event occurred will be refunded, minus BitBet's standard fee.
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info@bitbet.us (BitBet.us) 1291