Facebook Myspace’d
Facebook will celebrate its 11th year of existence on February 4th, 2015. On that date, it will cease to appear in the top 5 sites by traffic as published by Alexa
- Category:Misc
- Bet started:6 months 3 weeks ago (02-03-2014)
- Bet closing: in 3 months 3 weeks (21-01-2015)
- Resolution: in 4 months 1 week (05-02-2015)
- Weighted No: 1`315`694
- Weighted Yes: 502`995
- Current weight: 35`987 ( from 100`000 to 1 )
- Confirmed bets: 31 ( No: 29 / Yes: 2 )
- Histograph:
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Calculator:
placing a winning BTC bet on:Yes pays: BTC
No pays: BTC
after fees, at current weight and assuming no one else bets
CONFIRMED BETS: 23.93 BTC
| TIME | BET | WEIGHT | BTC IN | IN | BTC OUT | OUT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-03-14 18:11 | Yes | 99`999 | 0.03000000 | 16pHW | / | 1K4Fs | |
| 02-03-14 18:11 | No | 99`999 | 0.07000000 | 16Phh | / | 1F5xm | |
| 02-03-14 18:11 | Yes | 99`999 | 5.00000000 | 16PcT | / | 1K4Fs | |
| 02-03-14 19:03 | No | 99`988 | 0.05000000 | 16Pmh | / | 192PJ | |
| 02-03-14 19:42 | No | 99`980 | 0.50000000 | 16PQF | / | 1JsRX | |
| 02-03-14 19:42 | No | 99`980 | 0.01525744 | 16PMV | / | 1BitB | |
| 03-03-14 01:53 | No | 99`900 | 0.02000000 | 16pVs | / | 1FccA | |
| 03-03-14 02:14 | No | 99`896 | 0.01000000 | 16pVu | / | 1KMx1 | |
| 03-03-14 09:57 | No | 99`797 | 0.01317800 | 16pz3 | / | 1G1Hr | |
| 03-03-14 13:27 | No | 99`752 | 1.01010101 | 16Q2w | / | 19Dzv | |
| 03-03-14 14:21 | No | 99`740 | 0.01000000 | 16q8d | / | 16iM8 | |
| 03-03-14 19:54 | No | 99`669 | 0.01000000 | 16QC5 | / | 13GJN | |
| 04-03-14 03:40 | No | 99`569 | 0.01000000 | 16QES | / | 1MisH | |
| 05-03-14 17:24 | No | 99`084 | 0.10000000 | 16QzZ | / | 1NfXM | |
| 06-03-14 19:42 | No | 98`746 | 0.25000000 | 16ret | / | 1CjMU | |
| 01-04-14 07:47 | No | 90`881 | 0.54180818 | 17CG9 | / | 17eQG | |
| 09-04-14 12:08 | No | 88`357 | 0.05000000 | 17edC | / | 16X5t | |
| 22-04-14 05:28 | No | 84`434 | 0.01000000 | 17iCT | / | 1DjkR | |
| 27-04-14 20:27 | No | 82`699 | 0.49000000 | 17kLZ | / | 1MisH | |
| 15-05-14 10:28 | No | 77`276 | 4.23977070 | 17PqH | / | 1CFJw | |
| 24-05-14 22:01 | No | 74`352 | 0.10000000 | 17s3o | / | 13833 | |
| 22-06-14 13:48 | No | 65`514 | 0.10000000 | 18DXu | / | 1MTvt | |
| 01-07-14 13:47 | No | 62`739 | 0.01000000 | 18hUr | / | 1BwuQ | |
| 02-07-14 15:02 | No | 62`414 | 5.00000000 | 18iBi | / | 1NfXM | |
| 07-07-14 04:38 | No | 61`006 | 3.00000000 | 18rmv | / | 18Tug | |
| 10-07-14 20:47 | No | 59`873 | 0.01020000 | 18T6N | / | 1Bzaw | |
| 23-07-14 23:26 | No | 55`829 | 2.26401967 | 18WZg | / | 1DAdD | |
| 01-08-14 09:22 | No | 53`235 | 0.50000000 | 18YzC | / | 1JboP | |
| 11-08-14 18:39 | No | 50`031 | 0.02000000 | 194Pu | / | 1Q9Q6 | |
| 28-08-14 18:33 | No | 44`790 | 0.50000000 | 19cZM | / | 1LZoV | |
| 06-09-14 05:22 | No | 42`183 | 0.00335536 | 1Euaf | / | 16egV |
DISCUSSION
#2717: Anonypoop 02-04-14 at 23:00
Exactly on that date? I’ll go with no.
#2907: benkay 11-05-14 at 00:45
Does it have to be the first time Facebook drops out of the Alexa top five?
#2908: Anonymous 11-05-14 at 11:27
It just has to not be in it.
#2963: charan 28-05-14 at 12:54
https://bitbet.us/bet/771/facebook-myspaced/#b18
#2964: Anonymous 28-05-14 at 12:57
#2963, #2908, #2963, #2717, #2907, #2908, #2963, #2908, #2963, #2908, #2963, #2908, #2963, #2908, #2963, #2908, #2963, #2908, #2963, #2908, #2963,
#2971: Anonymous 29-05-14 at 22:41
What Anonypoop and benkay said. The poster probably intended what #2908 said but ended up meaning something different. If the post was clearer, I would bet.
#3178: Anonymous 24-06-14 at 10:21
If FB remains in top 5, it should resolve to no, no matter the interpretation.
BitBet Mod 24-06-14 at 17:33
#2717, #2907, no, doesn’t have to happen that day, it just has to be the case that day.