Difficulty to continue increasing by over 20%
Each BTC network difficulty change as reported by gribble before the end of January 2014 will be an increase of more than 20% over the last.
Bet outcome: No
- Category:Bitcoin
- Bet started:8 months 3 weeks ago (12-10-2013)
- Bet closed: 7 months 2 weeks ago (17-11-2013)
- Resolved: 7 months 2 weeks ago (17-11-2013)
- Weighted No: 3`891`146
- Weighted Yes: 271`230
- Confirmed bets: 36 ( No: 24 / Yes: 12 )
- Histograph:
CONFIRMED BETS: 61.17 BTC
TIME | BET | WEIGHT | BTC IN | IN | BTC OUT | OUT | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-10-13 10:00 | No | 99`999 | 0.25000000 | 12R7s | 0.26827672 | 1FEGY | |
12-10-13 10:13 | Yes | 99`990 | 0.06000000 | 12rAo | 0.00000000 | 1F5xm | |
12-10-13 10:13 | No | 99`990 | 0.04000000 | 12r9H | 0.04292397 | 1FEGY | |
12-10-13 11:00 | Yes | 99`960 | 0.07000000 | 12rAu | 0.00000000 | 1BASZ | |
12-10-13 19:16 | Yes | 99`630 | 0.06990000 | 12Rgu | 0.00000000 | 1HANT | |
13-10-13 12:09 | No | 98`958 | 0.07549421 | 12rLT | 0.08094804 | 1Keqd | |
13-10-13 13:19 | Yes | 98`911 | 0.15000000 | 12rMd | 0.00000000 | 13Biz | |
13-10-13 22:45 | Yes | 98`536 | 0.08060757 | 12Rqf | 0.00000000 | 1Keqd | |
14-10-13 17:10 | Yes | 97`801 | 0.00310000 | 12rUt | 0.00000000 | 12wZf | |
17-10-13 01:15 | No | 95`567 | 0.01000000 | 12sHu | 0.01069423 | 16NB6 | |
19-10-13 10:30 | Yes | 93`286 | 0.05000000 | 12Syc | 0.00000000 | 1822u | |
20-10-13 12:24 | Yes | 92`255 | 0.01000000 | 12tgh | 0.00000000 | 16v13 | |
22-10-13 03:03 | Yes | 90`714 | 0.27290000 | 12u4C | 0.00000000 | 1DCo4 | |
28-10-13 15:00 | Yes | 84`502 | 1.30000000 | 12Vzs | 0.00000000 | 15Y2S | |
07-11-13 11:23 | No | 75`084 | 5.00000000 | 134uH | 5.26200297 | 1K4Fs | |
08-11-13 20:32 | No | 73`763 | 0.00671923 | 136aH | 0.00706394 | 1Keqd | |
09-11-13 02:10 | Yes | 73`539 | 1.00000000 | 136iu | 0.00000000 | 1Pcte | |
09-11-13 15:02 | No | 73`026 | 0.10000000 | 1371G | 0.10506902 | 16NB6 | |
10-11-13 09:39 | No | 72`285 | 1.50000000 | 137U4 | 1.57511161 | 1CnvR | |
10-11-13 10:16 | Yes | 72`260 | 0.20000000 | 1362u | 0.00000000 | 1B7ij | |
12-11-13 20:50 | No | 69`926 | 0.40000000 | 13acE | 0.41924555 | 1CnvR | |
14-11-13 00:14 | No | 68`835 | 1.00000000 | 13BAk | 1.04720719 | 18enj | |
14-11-13 03:50 | No | 68`692 | 0.20000000 | 13b79 | 0.20941766 | 1CnvR | |
16-11-13 21:51 | No | 66`061 | 2.22103366 | 13cKs | 2.32076203 | 15Y2S | |
16-11-13 22:45 | No | 66`026 | 1.50000000 | 13cLc | 1.56730904 | 1CnvR | |
16-11-13 22:50 | No | 66`022 | 0.04194038 | 13cKs | 0.04382221 | 15Y2S | |
16-11-13 22:56 | No | 66`018 | 0.33634438 | 13cKs | 0.35143482 | 15Y2S | |
16-11-13 23:08 | No | 66`010 | 1.00000000 | 13CmQ | 1.04485940 | 1CnvR | |
16-11-13 23:10 | No | 66`009 | 12.00000000 | 13CLy | 12.53830283 | 15tWa | |
16-11-13 23:30 | No | 65`995 | 6.00000000 | 13CMU | 6.26908160 | 1CnvR | |
16-11-13 23:55 | No | 65`979 | 11.21012266 | 13cMY | 11.71271323 | 1HRB2 | |
17-11-13 00:55 | No | 65`939 | 3.77953002 | 13cKs | 3.94885445 | 15Y2S | |
17-11-13 08:26 | No | 65`640 | 8.00000000 | 13d2B | 8.35641521 | 1FJWR | |
17-11-13 08:58 | No | 65`619 | 3.09229469 | 13D77 | 3.23000833 | 1BNW4 | |
17-11-13 11:29 | No | 65`518 | 0.05000000 | 13DgR | 0.05222252 | 1Jtmb | |
17-11-13 12:57 | No | 65`460 | 0.10000000 | 13Dkz | 0.10444023 | 17B9B |
DISCUSSION
#1598: Anonymous 12-10-13 at 11:00
Not sure why gwibble has higher authority than the network itself…
#1599: Anonymous 12-10-13 at 14:34
Gribble uses data from the network. For convenience you can use ;;prevdiffchange to get it in percent whereas via the bitcoin client you can only get the current difficulty.
#1600: Anonymous 12-10-13 at 16:08
Gribble has higher authority than anything.
#1601: Anonymous 12-10-13 at 20:01
Well, assbot can kick gribble and not the other way around.
#1602: Anonymous 12-10-13 at 22:41
Nevertheless.
#1603: Anonymous 13-10-13 at 04:34
Oh, I was wondering how to measure it. ;;prevdiffchange is cool.
Regardless of the outcome, I like this bet!
#1606: Anonymous 13-10-13 at 10:09
Try .d in #bitcoin-assets also, ozbot has the same data.
#1607: Anonymous 13-10-13 at 10:52
With .d you only get the current difficulty and future estimate, so you need to calculate yourself. Gribble does it for you with actual data.
#1743: 19% 17-11-13 at 08:58
Too bad suckers, it’s all over
#1746: Anonymous 17-11-13 at 12:20
Twelve blocks to go atm.
#1747: Life is so unfair 17-11-13 at 14:47
;;prevdiffchange reports 19.28894
https://blockchain.info/block-height/270144