Bitcoin to win vs S&P 500
The price of one bitcoin in USD as per Bitstamp will be greater than the price of the S&P 500 before 8 PM March 6th 2015.
- Category:Bitcoin
- Bet started:2 months 1 week ago (03-07-2014)
- Bet closing: in 4 months 3 days (11-01-2015)
- Resolution: in 5 months 4 weeks (07-03-2015)
- Weighted No: 57`323
- Weighted Yes: 72`936
- Current weight: 64`597 ( from 100`000 to 1 )
- Confirmed bets: 14 ( No: 8 / Yes: 6 )
- Histograph:
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Calculator:
placing a winning BTC bet on:Yes pays: BTC
No pays: BTC
after fees, at current weight and assuming no one else bets
CONFIRMED BETS: 1.32 BTC
TIME | BET | WEIGHT | BTC IN | IN | BTC OUT | OUT | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-07-14 20:58 | Yes | 99`995 | 0.02000000 | 18JjT | / | 1HNao | |
03-07-14 20:58 | No | 99`995 | 0.08000000 | 18Jjq | / | 19YgU | |
03-07-14 21:13 | Yes | 99`990 | 0.06073929 | 18jkd | / | 1EtNJ | |
03-07-14 22:16 | Yes | 99`967 | 0.10000000 | 18jmA | / | 1Mt79 | |
03-07-14 22:16 | No | 99`967 | 0.12000000 | 18jkS | / | 1NfXM | |
04-07-14 06:13 | Yes | 99`794 | 0.25000000 | 18jZD | / | 1CWhJ | |
04-07-14 06:13 | Yes | 99`794 | 0.20030000 | 18jxZ | / | 1CWhJ | |
04-07-14 06:13 | No | 99`794 | 0.05000000 | 18JXX | / | 1CWhJ | |
05-07-14 01:11 | No | 99`380 | 0.07706670 | 18qT9 | / | 17BxL | |
05-07-14 05:27 | Yes | 99`287 | 0.10000000 | 18qwq | / | 1CG4V | |
06-07-14 17:46 | No | 98`495 | 0.10000000 | 18Rgz | / | 139UL | |
10-07-14 09:59 | No | 96`573 | 0.01600180 | 18sTE | / | 1Wang | |
24-07-14 14:46 | No | 89`143 | 0.10000000 | 18xad | / | 17Hve | |
27-07-14 23:18 | No | 87`388 | 0.05000000 | 18XPN | / | 1MisH |
DISCUSSION
#3330: Anonymous 06-07-14 at 13:43
Is it a touch bet? That is, is it enough that there is a single trade on bitstamp between now the expiry date matching the condition, or is the test on the expiry day?
Same on the SP500 side too, if there is a flash crash type event where the index collapse for a few (milli)seconds, does that count?
#3366: Anonymous 09-07-14 at 05:23
The bumph reads like it reads – a one touch