Bitcoin network difficulty > 14Bn on Bastille day
The bet resolves to Yes if the Bitcoin network difficulty is equal to or greater than 14 billion on or before July 14, 2014.
Bet outcome: Yes
- Category:Bitcoin
- Bet started:7 months 1 week ago (23-12-2013)
- Bet closed: 1 month 2 weeks ago (14-06-2014)
- Resolved: 4 weeks 1 day ago (03-07-2014)
- Weighted No: 678`305
- Weighted Yes: 2`937`087
- Confirmed bets: 57 ( No: 25 / Yes: 32 )
- Histograph:
CONFIRMED BETS: 132.93 BTC
| TIME | BET | WEIGHT | BTC IN | IN | BTC OUT | OUT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23-12-13 15:19 | Yes | 99`976 | 1.10000000 | 14aSn | 1.82208163 | 1NfXM | |
| 23-12-13 15:34 | Yes | 99`970 | 0.04000000 | 14aSK | 0.06625591 | 1K4Fs | |
| 23-12-13 15:34 | No | 99`970 | 0.06000000 | 14arv | 0.00000000 | 1F5xm | |
| 25-12-13 00:04 | No | 99`184 | 3.00000000 | 14bmu | 0.00000000 | 1K4Fs | |
| 25-12-13 03:45 | Yes | 99`096 | 1.47147147 | 14bNP | 2.42876930 | 1Jkub | |
| 04-01-14 11:23 | Yes | 93`110 | 0.10000000 | 14gRt | 0.16106692 | 13GJN | |
| 04-01-14 14:41 | Yes | 93`031 | 0.10000000 | 14gSo | 0.16101426 | 13GJN | |
| 04-01-14 15:02 | Yes | 93`022 | 0.02105100 | 14GV6 | 0.03389384 | 1Avwr | |
| 06-01-14 00:15 | Yes | 92`219 | 0.25000000 | 14HVE | 0.40118246 | 19qRz | |
| 11-01-14 21:07 | Yes | 88`815 | 0.10000000 | 14kvX | 0.15820388 | 1CLqw | |
| 12-01-14 10:50 | No | 88`484 | 0.02000000 | 14L9E | 0.00000000 | 1MA74 | |
| 12-01-14 16:12 | Yes | 88`354 | 2.00000000 | 14Lni | 3.15793170 | 1Mt79 | |
| 12-01-14 23:02 | Yes | 88`189 | 1.00000000 | 14m11 | 1.57786596 | 1KeQ1 | |
| 14-01-14 15:28 | Yes | 87`211 | 1.80000000 | 14mSd | 2.82842395 | 1CW5K | |
| 15-01-14 15:23 | Yes | 86`633 | 0.10000000 | 14ncJ | 0.15674937 | 13GJN | |
| 19-01-14 20:55 | No | 84`180 | 1.30000000 | 14ozQ | 0.00000000 | 1K4Fs | |
| 23-01-14 16:37 | Yes | 81`963 | 0.38948990 | 14q1z | 0.59839809 | 1Mt79 | |
| 23-01-14 17:16 | Yes | 81`948 | 1.00000000 | 14q1z | 1.53626359 | 1Mt79 | |
| 24-01-14 20:16 | Yes | 81`295 | 5.00000000 | 14WQP | 7.65955355 | 12S27 | |
| 03-02-14 02:01 | No | 75`936 | 0.10000000 | 16E3o | 0.00000000 | 12MF2 | |
| 09-02-14 06:02 | No | 72`359 | 0.05000000 | 16Gp8 | 0.00000000 | 1BEuc | |
| 23-02-14 08:27 | Yes | 64`180 | 2.00000000 | 16kWZ | 2.83564498 | 154BD | |
| 25-02-14 20:38 | No | 62`725 | 0.10000000 | 16mgt | 0.00000000 | 1PNTt | |
| 01-03-14 17:23 | Yes | 60`484 | 1.00000000 | 16oUV | 1.39318503 | 19zbT | |
| 06-03-14 11:10 | Yes | 57`734 | 0.02500000 | 16RCb | 0.03437133 | 19EQB | |
| 12-03-14 05:13 | No | 54`397 | 0.50000000 | 16sRW | 0.00000000 | 1JgXB | |
| 01-04-14 05:58 | Yes | 42`779 | 3.20000000 | 17Cdh | 4.08052444 | 1NA7t | |
| 04-04-14 05:03 | Yes | 41`061 | 1.59990000 | 17CzH | 2.02181240 | 1Q9Q6 | |
| 07-04-14 13:43 | Yes | 39`111 | 0.12486932 | 17dZb | 0.15617569 | 1BnyJ | |
| 13-04-14 14:39 | No | 35`608 | 0.10000000 | 17FUv | 0.00000000 | 1NfXM | |
| 17-04-14 19:45 | Yes | 33`165 | 0.05554772 | 17Ha5 | 0.06727257 | 14S3m | |
| 18-04-14 02:12 | Yes | 33`009 | 4.00000000 | 17hfk | 4.84014912 | 1Q9Q6 | |
| 03-05-14 22:45 | Yes | 23`812 | 1.71500000 | 17mzq | 1.97007242 | 1BJeT | |
| 06-05-14 01:19 | No | 22`590 | 3.00000000 | 17niW | 0.00000000 | 12NZX | |
| 12-05-14 12:04 | Yes | 18`850 | 1.90000000 | 17p1Z | 2.11974201 | 1JfVm | |
| 13-05-14 08:40 | No | 18`352 | 1.14835172 | 17p8t | 0.00000000 | 1CKii | |
| 14-05-14 07:31 | No | 17`800 | 1.00090000 | 17pGx | 0.00000000 | 1Etne | |
| 15-05-14 07:30 | No | 17`220 | 1.00000000 | 17pQE | 0.00000000 | 1JhNL | |
| 16-05-14 18:49 | No | 16`367 | 1.00000000 | 17pTt | 0.00000000 | 1PzuS | |
| 19-05-14 23:27 | Yes | 14`514 | 10.00000000 | 17qVe | 10.86750010 | 1DuvY | |
| 22-05-14 05:28 | Yes | 13`209 | 50.00000000 | 17qVe | 53.90254541 | 1DuvY | |
| 23-05-14 04:16 | No | 12`658 | 1.14658359 | 17rUg | 0.00000000 | 16AB9 | |
| 25-05-14 03:08 | Yes | 11`525 | 22.50000000 | 17s6y | 24.00357151 | 1APhU | |
| 25-05-14 08:37 | No | 11`393 | 1.00000000 | 17s9C | 0.00000000 | 1sz9w | |
| 26-05-14 09:28 | No | 10`792 | 1.00000000 | 17s9C | 0.00000000 | 1sz9w | |
| 27-05-14 11:58 | No | 10`152 | 1.00000000 | 17s9C | 0.00000000 | 1sz9w | |
| 27-05-14 18:01 | No | 10`005 | 1.00000000 | 17s9C | 0.00000000 | 1sz9w | |
| 29-05-14 11:46 | No | 8`997 | 1.00000000 | 17s9C | 0.00000000 | 1sz9w | |
| 29-05-14 17:30 | No | 8`858 | 1.00000000 | 17s9C | 0.00000000 | 1sz9w | |
| 03-06-14 14:17 | No | 6`036 | 0.02470000 | 17U4Y | 0.00000000 | 173oS | |
| 09-06-14 17:19 | Yes | 2`482 | 0.25000000 | 17w7R | 0.25163623 | 1BxKb | |
| 11-06-14 06:30 | No | 1`583 | 0.02500000 | 17s9C | 0.00000000 | 1sz9w | |
| 11-06-14 11:18 | No | 1`467 | 0.10078847 | 17s9C | 0.00000000 | 1sz9w | |
| 12-06-14 20:04 | Yes | 676 | 0.05000000 | 17yzW | 0.04972531 | 1669M | |
| 13-06-14 00:49 | Yes | 560 | 0.05010000 | 17ZdD | 0.04978602 | 1JGeB | |
| 13-06-14 18:27 | Yes | 134 | 0.22000000 | 17zUp | 0.21799651 | 194Gd | |
| 13-06-14 18:27 | No | 134 | 0.10000000 | 17ztE | 0.00000000 | 194Gd |
DISCUSSION
#2825: Anonymous 17-04-14 at 23:31
Could be quite the upset
#2826: Anonymous 18-04-14 at 00:02
13 weeks = 6, possibly 7 retargets. 69788426501.1234^6 = 14027811577. +12.34% each time means yes, but less means no. ATM estimate is +18.77%.
#2828: Anonymous 18-04-14 at 04:13
ATM estimate from site that is consistently wrong. Looks very high guesstimate to me. Will be watching this closely. Miners are hurting.
#2832: Anonymous 19-04-14 at 00:59
#2828 Please bet more on No. kthxbai
#2873: Anonymous 30-04-14 at 02:46
Looking increasingly at risk
#2888: Anonymous 02-05-14 at 00:02
compare the odds: goo.gl/bjZSwX
#2890: Anonymous 02-05-14 at 02:54
#2888, strange how the odds of diff greater than 14B on June 15th on your site are so different than the odds here for 14B on JULY 14.
I would bet a fine fortune on NO on your site, but then again, I wouldn’t see my winnings if I did make the right choice.
Better to stay with the tried and true. BITBET
#2911: Anonymous 14-05-14 at 08:32
Tight
#2917: Anonymous 16-05-14 at 09:33
Moar profitable to bet at bitbet than to own it
#2940: Anonymous 22-05-14 at 20:23
1K4Fs could make a killing here
#2941: Anonymous 23-05-14 at 00:58
Altcoin could become a serious coin
#2949: 1K4Fs 25-05-14 at 12:06
1K4Fs is thanked for his contribution
#2986: Anonymous 02-06-14 at 01:37
Come on, throw some more singles at it!
#2987: Anonymous 02-06-14 at 02:32
Curious to see if a diff change happens on Bastille Day
#2993: Anonymous 02-06-14 at 15:15
Well you could start a bet on it….
#2999: 36 Guy 03-06-14 at 21:26
Nah, diff change will be on 13th July. But this will be over well before then
#3000: Anonymous 03-06-14 at 22:54
Not often you see all the trailing bets going the wrong way
#3001: FFS 04-06-14 at 02:58
Are the end-May bets gonna actually get paid, and not just "resolved"?!?
#3002: Anonymous 04-06-14 at 03:36
14 billion on 17th June
#3005: Anonymous 04-06-14 at 14:57
June or July. Same difference
#3009: Anonymous 06-06-14 at 07:02
#3001: stop by #bitcoin-assets on irc.freenode.net and complain to mircea_popescu or kakobrekla
#3019: Anonymous 09-06-14 at 04:05
Ahahaha no is going to wiiiin
#3020: Anonymous 09-06-14 at 04:57
Wanna bet?
#3025: Anonymous 10-06-14 at 06:39
Come on 1sz9w, public wants moar
#3027: Anonymous 10-06-14 at 20:16
The public demands it!
#3028: 1sz9w 11-06-14 at 06:40
How many should I bet?
#3029: Anonymous 11-06-14 at 09:56
All u got
#3030: Anonymous 11-06-14 at 11:28
lol
#3031: Ferty Six 11-06-14 at 11:52
gwibble
#3032: Anonymous 11-06-14 at 11:57
Christ what’s with the proposition spam?
#3033: Anonymous 11-06-14 at 18:34
This is my last bet on bibet.us, switching over to the new betmoose.com. I’m so tired of the "we take 1%" even if you win crap. I can’t bet 100 BTC on this since my 1% in fees exceeds the payout! Plus I’m late so the multiplier is crap. Hey bitbet; change your policies to what betmoose does https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=645747.0, maybe I’ll come back.
#3034: Anonymous 11-06-14 at 19:02
Have fun.
#3035: Anonymous 11-06-14 at 19:14
#3033, so was this last bet of yours a bet you actually made or a bet you imagined you might make if you know, BitBet was more like some new scam you’re pushing and if you wallet was more like 100 BTC than 100 microBTC?
#3036: Anonymous 11-06-14 at 19:15
#3032, Teh community trying to make Bitbet more like whatever.
#3039: Anonymous 11-06-14 at 23:08
#3033, if you only want to leech on "sure bets" then you’re not welcome here. that’s why we LIKE the weight system. rewards risk tasking, fucks the leechers.
of course assuming you’re not "betmoose" admin.
#3040: Anonymous 12-06-14 at 00:47
Admin=CEO,only coder,PR manager etc.
#3042: Anonymous 12-06-14 at 04:50
#3039: no such thing as a leech dude. If it’s a sure thing, don’t complain if others bet on it when you aren’t
#3046: Anonymous 12-06-14 at 12:21
To remove leechers one need to add quadratic weight loss not linear to time.
#3050: Anonymous 12-06-14 at 15:22
#3046, Quadratic my foot. Go seek yo rent somewhere else.
#3052: Anonymous 12-06-14 at 20:09
#b54 zomg!! late leeech
#3061: Anonymous 12-06-14 at 22:02
My girlfriend is late and she’s a total leech.
#3071: Anonymous 13-06-14 at 21:10
Late leeches also seem to have no idea, and make guaranteed money-losing two ways…
#3083: Anonymous 15-06-14 at 02:37
Bwahaha. Rule #1 of bitcoin: don’t bet against difficulty
#3084: Anonymous 15-06-14 at 03:58
#3083 go look up diff bets from june, may, april. They all resolved no.
#3103: Anonymous 18-06-14 at 03:21
Just two 4.3% increases needed to scrape in at end of 14Jul
#3105: derpnonamous 18-06-14 at 11:55
More like one change at 4.0
#3109: Anonymous 18-06-14 at 15:56
<gribble> Current Blocks: 306518 Current Difficulty: 1.346258011452534E10 Next Difficulty At Block: 308447 Next Difficulty In: 1929 blocks Next Difficulty In About: 1 week, 4 days, 8 hours, 19 minutes, and 45 seconds Next Difficulty Estimate: 15413140721.7 Estimated Percent Change: 14.48876
#3223: Anonymous 29-06-14 at 08:24
Current Blocks: 308448 Current Difficulty: 1.6818461371161112E10 Next Difficulty At Block: 310463 Next Difficulty In: 2015 blocks Next Difficulty In About: 1 week, 3 days, 8 hours, and 0 seconds Next Difficulty Estimate: 67273861186.8 Estimated Percent Change: 300.00009
#3234: Anonymous 30-06-14 at 17:53
Please resolve. This was virtually settled the last week.
#3270: Anonymous 02-07-14 at 04:20
Do not resolve until 14.07
#3271: Anonymous 02-07-14 at 05:02
#3270: Huh? Reading comprehension problems?
"equal to or greater than 14 billion on or before July 14, 2014"
Clearly greater, and clearly before July 14.
#3278: Anonymous 02-07-14 at 19:42
if July 14 netdiff will be 13B, and July 13, that before July 14, will be 13B, then your statement will be wrong.
#3279: Anonymous 02-07-14 at 20:27
To bad, it’s true now. Learn to read.
#3287: Anonymous 03-07-14 at 02:57
Come on, resolve this shit, I need to bet again. No coinz.