Two known NSA assets infiltrated in the Bitcoin community - Gavin Andresen and Mike Hearn - have joined forces to push a hastily concocted privacy nightmare/scamcoin, which they call Bitcoin-XT. It is currently completely irrelevant, owing to an absolute lack of financial, economical, technical or social support. This is a bet that it will stay irrelevant throughout the next twelve months. Therefore :

If, at any and all times prior to August 1st, 2016, Bitcoin-XT continues to have no full nodes on the network (half dollar AWS instances & similar don't count) ; or if no two consecutive blocks with a version number equal to 536870919 are mined before August 1st, 2016 ; or if less than 750 blocks with a version number equal to 536870919 are mined before August 1st, 2016 ; or if no contiguous set of one thousand blocks mined prior to August 1st, 2016 contains at least 3/4 blocks with a version number equal to 536870919 ; or if no block with a total size over 1000000 bytes is mined prior to August 1st, 2016 ; or if such a block is mined yet it does not have a version number equal to equal to 536870919 ; or, if after such a block is mined, the difficulty on the Bitcoin-XT alt-chain at any point falls under half the difficulty on the Bitcoin network ; or, if after such a block is mined, the XT-scamcoins trade for more than two to the Bitcoin then this bet resolves as Yes.

Otherwise this bet resolves as No.

If Donald Trump is officially announced as the winner of the 2016 US Presidential Election, this bet resolves as Yes.

Otherwise, this bet resolves as No.

The price of one Bitcoin in USD will rise over $600 before July 2016 as per Bitstamp .

When the difference between a given "Yes" bet time and the event time is less than two weeks, that bet will be refunded less BitBet's fee.

Should Bitstamp have failed or gone rogue, a suitable replacement resolution source shall be determined by BitBet Mods.

The price of one Bitcoin in USD will rise over $800 before July 2016 as per Bitstamp .

When the difference between a given "Yes" bet time and the event time is less than two weeks, that bet will be refunded less BitBet's fee.

Should Bitstamp have failed or gone rogue, a suitable replacement resolution source shall be determined by BitBet Mods.

The price of one Bitcoin in USD will rise over $1,000 before July 2016 as per Bitstamp .

When the difference between a given "Yes" bet time and the event time is less than two weeks, that bet will be refunded less BitBet's fee.

Should Bitstamp have failed or gone rogue, a suitable replacement resolution source shall be determined by BitBet Mods.

Bernie Sanders will win the US democratic primary and be declared the party's 2016 presidential nominee.

Block 420,000 shall have a timestamp of 20 July 2016 or earlier.

The price of one Bitcoin as per Bitstamp in USD will rise above the PM price of one troy ounce of gold in USD, as published by LBMA before October 2016 (most recent "USD PM" fix).

When the difference between a given "Yes" bet time and the event time is less than two weeks, that bet will be refunded less BitBet's fee.

Should Bitstamp have failed or gone rogue, a suitable replacement resolution source shall be determined by BitBet Mods.

The price of one Bitcoin in USD will rise over $900 before September 2016 as per Bitstamp .

When the difference between a given "Yes" bet time and the event time is less than 3 weeks, that bet will be refunded less BitBet's fee.

Should Bitstamp have failed or gone rogue, a suitable replacement resolution source shall be determined by BitBet Mods.

If Ted Cruz is officially announced as the Republican candidate for the US Presidency at the 2016 Republican convention, this bet resolves as Yes.

Otherwise this bet resolves as No.