HIGH ROLLER
Donald Trump will win the 2016 United States Presidential Election
If Donald Trump is announced by the press as the winner of the 2016 US Presidential Election, this bet resolves as Yes.
Otherwise, this bet resolves as No.
Bitcoin to top 1000 USD before January 2017
The price of one Bitcoin in USD will rise over $1000 before January 1st, 2017 as per Bitstamp.
If the time difference between a given "Yes" bet time and the event time is less than two weeks, that bet will be refunded minus BitBet's fee.
Should Bitstamp have failed or gone rogue, a suitable replacement resolution source shall be determined by BitBet Mods.
Bitcoin difficulty over 280B before 2017
Bitcoin main network difficulty will be over 280 billion strictly before January 1st 2017 GMT.
Should the resolution event occur early, all bets received (where "received" means "included in a block") after the event will be refunded, minus BitBet's fee.
Deeply flawed US election system to fail again in 2017
If the next US president is elected without actually winning a majority of all popular ballots cast, this contract resolves as YES.
Elaboration: in the deeply flawed US election system, it is possible for a president to be elected when more than half of the voters vote against him or her. This happened for example in the 2000 US presidential election.
This contract resolves to YES if this happens again in the 2017 US presidential election.
The resolution source shall be http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/electionresults.shtml
More details on the broken US election system can be found at fairvote.org .
BitBet reserves the right to wait until any ambiguity or uncertainty is lifted before this contract is settled.
Gold to trade above USD 1400 per ounce in 2016
The bet is that one troy ounce of gold will trade at or above USD 1400 on or before December 31 2016, as per goldprice.org .
Should the event take place before December 31 2016 all bets received (where "received" means "included in a block") after the event OR within one week before the event will be considered void and will be refunded minus BitBet's fee.
Bitcoin Block Larger Than 1Mb to be mined in 2016
If a bitcoin block strictly larger than 1000000 bytes (1 MB) gets mined on the main chain and subsequently receives more than 100 confirmations before December 31st 2016 at midnight GMT included, this bet resolves as "Yes".
For any other outcome, including but not limited to the event "Block Larger Than 1MB gets mined but gets orphaned before receiving 100 confirmations", this bet resolves as "No".
Should a block strictly larger than 1Mb get mined, betting will close immediately and all bets received after the event (where "received" means "bet transaction gets one confirmation on the bitcoin network") will be refunded, minus BitBet's fee.
Should the outcome of this bet somehow be contentious, for example if two independent forks of the blockchain should develop, the BitBet admin team will adjudicate the outcome of the bet, including a potential full refund (minus BitBet's fee) if the two forks happen to have about equivalent mining power working on them.
Addendum 1: "block size" is defined to be the total number of bytes included in a block, (including any "witness data" included in the block if the segregated data soft fork happens to launch by then).
Addendum 2: we have clarified the early closing conditions: betting will close as soon as a block larger than 1Mb is mined, not after 100 confirmations.
Hillary Clinton indicted before January 1st 2017
If Hillary Rodham Clinton, currently running for president of the U.S.A., gets formally indicted on or before January 1st 2017, this bet resolves as YES.
Should the event occur prior to the January 1st 2017 deadline, betting will close immediately. All bets received (where "received" means "included in a block") after betting closes will be refunded, minus BitBet's fee.
BTC price to surpass 1 oz. Gold before April 2017
If the USD price of one Bitcoin rises above the USD price of one troy ounce of gold (31.10.. grams) at any time on or before March 31st 2017 UTC, this contract resolves as YES.
The resolution sources shall be Bitstamp for Bitcoin prices and GoldPrice.org for Gold prices.
Should the resolution event occur prior to April 1st 2017, all "YES" bets received within a two week period prior to the event will be refunded, minus BitBet's standard fee.
Should Bitstamp.net or GoldPrice.org have failed or gone rogue, suitable replacement resolution sources shall be selected by the BitBet admin team.
The text of this bet was amended on Jul. 5th 2016 UTC to properly reflect the contract creator's original intent to exclude April 1st 2017.
2nd nation to decide to exit EU before Jan 1st
Before January 1st 2017, a nation besides the UK that is currently a full member of the European Union will choose to leave the European Union.
More precisely: if, prior to January 1st 2017, any full member country of the European Union, as detailed in the list below, either holds a successful exit referendum or executes any binding policy (parliamentary action, monarch decree, or even a decree by military coup) that would lead the nation to invoke Article 50 in the Treaty of Lisbon for withdrawing from the European Union, this bet resolves to YES.
If there is no additional binding policy or successful exit referendum before 1 January 2017, this bet resolves to NO.
Should the event take place before December 31 2016 all bets received (where "received" means "included in a block") after the event will be refunded, minus BitBet's standard fee.
Note that the text of the bet is the binding contract whereas the title is just a summary.
Should the outcome be somehow ambiguous, the final deciding authority lies with the BitBet admin team.
Full EU member nations:
Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Republic of Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden.
Gary Johnson wins at least 1 Electoral College vote
This contract resolves as YES if in the 2016 Presidential Election, Gary Johnson wins at least 1 Electoral College vote from any state at any time.
LATEST COMMENTS
- double-check posted in: Gary Johnson to be included in national debate http://dpaste.com/1CRMSSH
- Anonymous posted in: Bitcoin difficulty over 280B before 2017 bah what's 15k these days ?
- Anonymous posted in: Bitcoin difficulty over 280B before 2017 Alternatively, go build a new mining farm in China -> win the bet and propheet from the mining !
- Anonymous posted in: Bitcoin difficulty over 280B before 2017 Hang in there, it ain't over until the fat lady sings.
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1BmE1 posted in: Bitcoin difficulty over 280B before 2017
http://nextdifficulty.com/ says the next Bitcoin difficulty change will be a decline of -4.9% :'(
(Conservative: -4.3% -4.9% Continous: -6.5 %)
My stomach hurts. I realized that I'm a very stupid man. - Anonymous posted in: Will Trump drop out of the election? #6666, hijo de puta
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Anonymous posted in: Will Trump drop out of the election?
as much as i despise this despicable individual, there's one thing that is a universal fact, and that is, that new yorkers do not drop out of anything, let alone a presidential race, and he is a new yorker, so no there is no chance that he will drop out of the race unfortunately.
- Anonymous posted in: Bitcoin difficulty over 280B before 2017 #6662 English, dude, do you speak it ?
LATEST BETS PLACED
- Donald Trump will win the 2016 United States Presidential Election 0.25000000 BTC on No - 1 day 5 hours ago
- Hillary Clinton will be the next President of the United States 0.01600000 BTC on Yes - 1 day 7 hours ago
- Donald Trump will win the 2016 United States Presidential Election 0.40000000 BTC on No - 1 day 8 hours ago
- Bitcoin to set new ATH in 2016 0.00010000 BTC on Yes - 2 days 5 hours ago
- Donald Trump will win the 2016 United States Presidential Election 0.01000000 BTC on No - 2 days 14 hours ago
- Democrats control Senate 0.50000000 BTC on Yes - 2 days 15 hours ago
- Gary Johnson wins at least 1 Electoral College vote 0.09635388 BTC on Yes - 3 days 11 hours ago
- Winklevoss ETF listed on BATS in 2016 0.00400000 BTC on No - 3 days 17 hours ago